DEL (german hockey league) friday 12/20

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Now 44-19 (+29.02 units) for season.

Today two good looking away teams.
Both games are starting 1:30 pm ET

Hannover - Kassel: Kassel to win (2.3) for 1 unit:
Kassel a solid play-off team last year, completly rebuild its team playing with a lot of young german players. they also lost national team coach zach, who always seems to be a big factor for the team, to köln for this season.
As expected they struggled in the beginning of season, but slowly increasing form now, as them fits together better and better.
They have not lost in regulation ocer last 11 games.they won last 5 away games with wins over top-team Düsseldorf (2-0) and Köln (5-2).
currently they are in 6th place and on a good way to seperate themselves from the pick pack (6 teams) fighting for last play-off places.
Hannover,one of those teams, meanwhile is playing inconsistent over last games. they lost to weak teams (also at home), but also have shown they can beat everybody,especially at home. That's why it'S not a big play here.But red-hot Kassel as a dog should be a good play with great value.

Hamburg - Mannheim: Mannheim to win (2.15) for 1 unit

For me that play is unusal,as i played hamburg most of the times since they opend up their new arena.But going deeper in the stats i found some good reason:

Hamburg,still climbing steadily out out of the basement, is strong at home, but they have not won against one of the top 5 teams in league (if you dont count the 6-5 win in arena-opening match over köln).
They lost on tuesday to Krefeld 3-2, on sunday to Köln 5-2, also lost against Düsseldorf 5-4.
Their wins (home and away) are comeing only against weaker team from place 7 to 14.
Mannheim,currently in 3rd place, is surprizing weak in away games this season(6-7),which is usually their strength.
But there is one "unusal" stat about the away games, which i also mentioned a couple of weeks ago.
They lost every away game (0-5) against teams from NRW (NRW is a part of germany, like the states in USA. five teams playing there within 70 km).
Outside of this area their record is 6-1, which gives me reason to support them playing in Hamburg,which is very up the north in Hamburg and far away of mannheim's unfriendly territory.
I dont know why it is,but i'll ride this trend for the next games.
Mannheim also won last 3 overall and should stay in the hunt for the number 1 spot.
i see good value here going with the stronger team over a suspect home strength.

BOL to all

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